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Trade gap to further widen, but BSP sees silver lining

Tom Hagler by Tom Hagler
30.11.2021
in Finance
Trade gap to further widen, but BSP sees silver lining
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The Philippines continues to spend more dollars on imports than it earns from its exports, further widening a trade gap that puts the spotlight on the country’s weak export industry.

In a press briefing, officials of the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) said they now expected the current account deficit — the amount by which expenses for imported goods and services exceed export receipts — to hit $10.1 billion by the end of 2019.

Despite this, BSP Deputy Governor Diwa Guinigundo remained optimistic that the account gap was “financeable” saying that imports using up dollars now would translate into higher productivity down the road.

The new forecast was higher than the $8.4 billion current account deficit that the central bank forecast in late 2018 and, if proven accurate, will represent a 28-percent increase over the $7.9-billion in trade related net dollar outflow recorded at the end of 2018.
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Although the trade gap was widening, central bank officials said they now expected the Philippines’ balance of payments account — the net total tally of dollar inflow and outflow—to end in a surplus in 2019, reversing last year’s deficit.

The latest BSP forecast showed a balance of payments surplus of $3.7 billion by the end of 2019 compared to a $2.3 billion deficit in 2018.

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